Friday, November 15, 2024

“Last four out or last four in?” – The Wisconsin Badgers could sneak into March Madness again in the 2024 season

Even though the season is only three games long, the NCAA Bracketology League has already started and the Wisconsin Badgers have been added to it.

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Currently, Badgers along with Iowa, San Diego State and UCF are considered a “First Four Out” school. The Badgers started the season 3-0 after defeating Holy Cross, Montana State and App State in Madison. However, Wisconsin has a complex road ahead, and while analysts are confident about the team’s makeup heading into the tournament, time will tell whether the Badgers will even be considered.

October 30, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin: Wisconsin coach Greg Gard observes the second half of a preseason game on Wednesday, October 30, 2024, at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin. Mark Hoffman/Imagn Images

The Wisconsin Badgers have to play Arizona, Marquette, Rutgers, Ohio State, Indiana and Purdue this season, all of which are ranked teams. In addition to the tough ranking matchups, Wisconsin also plays UCF, Illinois (twice) and Iowa (twice), all of whom are hoping to extend their season.

First, the Wisconsin Badgers will have to get through Arizona and UCF before they can really consider whether their team has what it takes to move forward. Wisconsin has lost all three games this season at some point on multiple possessions, which is unlikely to happen with better competition in the future. Both the Wildcats and Knights are two teams that are also struggling to play good basketball in March, so these games will be key for Wisconsin to find out where they stand.

Can the Wisconsin Badgers sneak into the 2024 NCAA Tournament in March?

Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin linebacker John Tonje (9) makes a move on UW-River Falls linebacker Zac Johnson (23) during the second half of a preseason game on Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024, at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin. Wisconsin defeated UW-River Falls 78-62.

While the Wisconsin Badgers are not currently considered a “tournament team,” if some games go in their favor, that could certainly change.

Starting with the elephant in the room, the Wisconsin Badgers will need convincing wins against better competition. Wisconsin is still looking for a solution, and that’s expected after major changes to Madison’s team this offseason. The Badgers will need to find a solution quickly against a tough Arizona team that can really run up the score.

The Wildcats are not only the earliest test for the Wisconsin Badgers, but perhaps the most complete test due to the makeup of the team. Arizona is a team expected to make a deep run in March, and if Wisconsin belongs in the tournament, it must at least compete with the Wildcats. Wisconsin currently has just a six-point lead over the Wildcats, which means oddsmakers are predicting a rather close game between the two.

While many Wisconsin Badgers fans may fear a blowout due to inconsistencies within the team, the game could end with a different outcome.

The next real test for Wisconsin will be against UCF, another team in a very similar situation to the Badgers. UCF upset Texas A&M earlier this season to prove how talented the team could be, but then almost lost to FAU in incredible style. UCF has arguably the toughest schedule in the conference this season, playing against Iowa State twice as well as facing Arizona, Houston, Cincinnati, Baylor and Kansas.

The Wisconsin Badgers will be in a different situation at UCF, however, as a win over the Knights is needed to prove that Wisconsin can withstand solid competition.

Wisconsin Badgers
October 30, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin: Wisconsin head coach Greg Gard gesticulates during the first half of a preseason game against UW-River Falls Wednesday, October 30, 2024 at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin. Mark Hoffman/Imagn Images

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