Milwaukee Brewers were usually always a team that excessively set expectations, especially driven by computer models. Pecota is one projection model system This attracts a lot of attention and according to their analytical, the infusion team will not only be dethroned by Chicago Cubs in the division this year, but also end below .500.
2025 Pecota projections are dethroned by Milwaukee Brewers
After numerous simulations, Pecota designs Cubs on 90.5 wins and 71.5 losses next year, as well as winning the National League Central Division. Milwaukee took second place at 80.5 wins and 81.5 losses. Season ago Brewers won the division for 10 matches over Cubs, so this projection is a complete flap by 180 degrees.
Why are brewer projections so bad?
Computer models, such as Pecota, tend to favor proven players who meet their expectations, while taking into account age regression based on position. These systems do not favor less proven players repeating success. The loss of proven veterans, such as Willy Adames and Devin Williams, hurt brewer projections on 2025.
Examples of players who are to go back in 2025, per pecota
Pecota really does not like brewing crime in 2025 Star Jackson Chourio, who leaves a robust season .275/.327/.464, has to fall until. 251/.301/.413. The catcher William Contreras was projected on .256/.335/.442 after the season .281/.365/.466 last year. Even Christian Yelich did not get much love, because Pecota predicted that he would bring you .248/.341/.388.
Ultimately, these are only projections. Milwaukee proved from year to year that they would do what computer models say. I would expect 2025 to be different.
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