The Green Bay Packers are coming off their bye week with an excellent chance to make the NFC postseason with eight games remaining in 2024.
Three different playoff projections put the Packers at between 70 and 80 percent likely to make the postseason in Week 11.
According to Next generation statisticsThe Packers (6-3) have a 72% chance of making the playoffs, and after Sunday’s victory over the Chicago Bears, they can enhance their probability to 79%.
According to ESPNThe Packers have an 80% chance of making the playoffs, according to the Football Power Index’s projection for the final eight games.
According to New York TimesThe Packers have a 79 percent chance of reaching the postseason on Sunday, which could enhance that to 85 percent with a win over the Bears.
With two division losses and three conference losses already, winning the NFC North or securing a spot in the NFC playoffs is a long shot for the Packers in all three locations. Next Gen Statistics gives the Packers a three percent chance of leading the NFC. ESPN gives the Packers a five percent chance of winning the division and a three percent chance of getting a first-round bye (but a 10 percent chance of getting to the Super Bowl!). The New York Times gives the Packers a two percent chance of winning the division and a one percent chance of being the No. 1 seed.
Of course, no team without six wins can make the playoffs – the Packers have a lot of work to do. But a 6-3 start, a chance to recover in the bye week and a manageable second-half schedule have the Packers in a good position heading into the final eight weeks.
Can Matt LaFleur get off to a quick start with a victory at Soldier Field on Sunday?
Reaching the playoffs is the goal, but not the ultimate goal. The Packers need to step up and play their best football in January. Beating the ticket is an crucial first step, but winning it all requires a well-oiled machine mixed with a bit of luck.
