The predictive model for Sports Info Solutions sees the Green Bay Packers performing in terms of projected regular season wins in 2024.
The analytics site model uses 18 data points to simulate games. The model’s projected win total was the final result of 1,000 simulated versions of the regular season.
Draft Kings has the Packers’ win total at 9.5. The model in SIS projected the Packers to win 10.7 games. Their positive differential – or plus 1.2 wins – was the seventh largest of the 32 teams included in the SIS model.
The Packers, with a juvenile, growing roster featuring an emerging quarterback, benefited greatly from this model with growth at the end of the 2023 season.
“The Packers also finished strong, pushing the 49ers to the brink in the divisional round and finishing second in point-weighted points,” James Weaver wrote.
Should we trust this model? Last year, the same model achieved 18-13-1 in over/under projections.
The Packers’ 2024 schedule will be tougher, but other factors – such as the improvement of Jordan Love in Season 2, the emergence of a recent defense under Jeff Hafley and additions like Xavier McKinney and Josh Jacobs – have Matt LaFleur’s team looking for a real pretender.
A few other things to note from the model: According to SIS, the Chicago Bears are projected to be 10.7 wins, well above the projected 8.5, the Philadelphia Eagles are projected to be 6.5 wins, and the San Francisco 49ers are projected to be 9.8 wins, well below the projected total number of victories. The largest positive predicted difference is for the Las Vegas Raiders, who are 3.9-10.4 in the model compared to the predicted 6.5.
